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Odd Lots

Lots More on China's Moves to Create a Dollar Alternative

Jan 26, 2024
In this engaging discussion, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, a Maurice R. Greenberg fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and an expert on China's economy, dives into the future of the global financial system. She examines China's serious ambitions to challenge the US dollar's dominance through the rise of the renminbi, especially in light of geopolitical tensions. Liu sheds light on how new energy markets and the Belt and Road Initiative could reshape international trade. She also discusses the impact of China's declining population on its economy and the electric vehicle market.
30:05

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • China is actively working to create an alternative currency system to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
  • China's declining population poses short-term challenges for its economy, particularly in the housing market, while long-term implications require strategies to address labor dynamics and economic evolution.

Deep dives

China's Efforts to Reduce Exposure to the Dollar

China is making efforts to reduce its exposure to the dollar-based system due to economic and geopolitical reasons. Chinese financiers aim to create an alternative system by splitting settlement and payment, increasing liquidity, and establishing a new trading system denominated in the renminbi (RMB). The goal is to diversify currency options and reduce reliance on the dollar. While the transaction volume on the Chinese interbank payment system is still relatively low, it serves as a proof of concept for China's initiative. However, the risk lies in a potential currency war and the challenge of export if the global trading system splits into two parts.

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