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Artificial Intelligence Masterclass
Why my P(DOOM) is so high (30%)
Feb 11, 2025
The discussion kicks off with a startling 30% P(DOOM) prediction, urging listeners to consider its implications. Insights into the rapid dangers of tech advancements reveal a pressing need for regulatory measures. The challenge of economic agency in a dystopian era raises vital questions about ownership and power. A powerful analogy compares socioeconomic collapse to gravitational forces, highlighting communication failures. Finally, critiques of Silicon Valley leadership spotlight hubris and the importance of diverse perspectives to foster innovation and rebuild public trust in AI.
28:42
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Quick takeaways
- The concept of P-Doom highlights the severe risks of inaction, indicating a significant likelihood of negative socio-political outcomes for humanity.
- The concentration of power within a techno-oligarchy underscores the necessity for diverse leadership in tech to avoid governance and innovation failures.
Deep dives
Understanding P-Doom and Its Implications
The concept of P-Doom, which ranges between 25% and 30% for an individual, represents the risk of neutral or worse outcomes for humanity, such as socio-political conflicts under oppressive regimes. This perspective suggests that if no action is taken, the default trajectory for society is likely to lead to negative consequences. The discussion contrasts P-Doom with other outcomes labeled S-Doom, which encompass existential threats and extreme suffering scenarios. By adopting a hopeful outlook, it is asserted that there are numerous potential interventions that can reduce these risks, thus keeping P-Doom at a lower level than it might otherwise be.
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