Economist Freya Beamish from TS Lombard discusses the return of US inflation, China's uncertain outlook, and Japan's strong structural case. Topics include inflation trends, Red Sea crisis impacts, Eurozone challenges, Bank of Japan policies, and potential investment opportunities in wind energy.
US inflation is on the rise due to hot PPI and CPI reports, posing a challenge for the Federal Reserve.
Ceasefire in the Red Sea region could potentially decrease inflationary pressures and reduce attacks.
Deep dives
US inflation on the rise
US inflation is increasing, with hot PPI and CPI reports indicating a major headache for the Federal Reserve. Rising freight rates and sticky wage pressure are contributing factors to the inflationary trend.
Red Sea crisis impacts inflation
The ongoing crisis in the Red Sea region, particularly in Gaza and Israel, has potential implications for inflation. Resolving the crisis through a ceasefire could lead to a reduction in attacks and a decrease in inflationary pressures.
European countries face cost of living concerns
European countries, including Germany, are primarily focused on addressing cost of living issues rather than concerns about a recession. The high wage growth in some European nations, along with low productivity growth, could pose challenges to the economy.
China's economic outlook remains dim
China continues to struggle with a deflationary spiral due to issues in the real estate sector, lack of liquidity, and limited returns on wealth. Initiatives such as greater defaults and recapitalization of the banking system are required to improve the structural outlook for China.
We discuss the resurgence of US inflation, which rhymes well with our forward looking indicators. Will inflation return to 2% at all in this cycle? Our guest Freya Beamish of TS Lombard is not positive on China, but sees a strong structural case in Japan. Tune in!
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