The Rachman Review ‘Regime roulette’ in Venezuela: Is Greenland next?
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Jan 8, 2026 
Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group and a leading voice on geopolitical risks, dives deep into the implications of Trump's 'Donroe Doctrine' focusing on Venezuela. He warns about the chaotic consequences of US involvement and discusses potential next targets like Cuba and Mexico. Bremmer critiques the superficial media coverage of Greenland, arguing for diplomatic engagement instead of coercion. He also highlights America's domestic political upheaval as the top global risk for 2026, emphasizing the erosion of democratic norms under Trump's leadership.
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Venezuela Win Masks Complex Aftermath
- The US operation ousting Maduro showcased military competence but created complex diplomatic aftermaths.
- Ian Bremmer warns that headline wins may not solve Venezuela's deeper instability and could produce unintended consequences.
High Risk But Some Resilience Remains
- Bremmer says risks in Venezuela remain high, with chaotic security and human-rights fallout possible.
- He also notes Venezuelan diaspora and recent democratic memory give the country some upside potential.
Prioritise Colombia For Targeted Action
- Expect targeted strikes against cartels and drug infrastructure in Colombia as the likeliest near-term action.
- Treat Mexico as a red line where direct intervention would be far higher risk and unlikely.