FiveThirtyEight Politics Democrats Aren't Popular. What Should They Do About It?
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Feb 24, 2025 Lenny Bronner, a Senior data scientist at The Washington Post, and Ruth Igielnik, Polling editor at The New York Times, discuss the Democratic Party's record low public favorability. They analyze polling data that reveals a rift among Democrats themselves regarding their party's direction. Topics include the historical context of political wilderness and strategies for reconnecting with core voters. The conversation also covers the recent political landscape in Germany, showcasing how shifts in public opinion can influence party dynamics.
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Democrats' Disarray
- Democrats face a bleak outlook with low public approval and internal dissatisfaction.
- A Quinnipiac poll reveals a 15-year low in favorability, yet still higher than Republican lows.
Disarray, But Not Despair
- Democrats are objectively in disarray, evidenced by a Quinnipiac poll showing a 15-year low in favorability.
- However, their ratings aren't as low as Republican lows after 2008 and 2012.
Doing Enough?
- While some Democrats feel the party isn't doing enough to counter Trump, this sentiment is partially amplified by social media.
- A Data for Progress poll reveals a split within the party regarding its future direction, though its wording might present a false choice.