20VC: Does Value Accrue to Incumbents or Startups in the AI Race, Why Model Size Matters More Than Data Size, Why Artificial General Intelligence is Far Away, Why Carpenters Will Be Paid More Than Software Engineers & Future of Jobs with Richard Socher
Aug 18, 2023
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Richard Socher, Founder and CEO of You.com, discusses his journey into the AI field, the importance of model size, and the value accrual between startups and incumbents in the AI race.
The more data there is about a job, the more likely it is to be automated, creating bottlenecks in physical tasks with limited data collection.
AI's progress may not continue exponentially due to misconceptions about its capabilities and the need for further research breakthroughs to develop artificial general intelligence (AGI).
Deep dives
The Importance of Data in Job Automation
The more data there is about a job, the more likely it is to be automated. However, there are still many jobs where data collection is lacking, which results in physical tasks becoming more expensive and creating bottlenecks.
The Potential Limitations of AI Progress
While AI has made significant progress, it is important to recognize that progress may not continue exponentially. Over-inflated expectations and misconceptions about AI's capabilities can lead to disappointment.
The Challenges of Achieving AGI
There are several barriers that prevent the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI). These include the need for further research breakthroughs, the inherent limitations of AI models, and the lack of AI setting its own goals.
The Future Role of AI in Society
AI is expected to play an even bigger role in society, improving efficiency and automation in various industries. However, the physical nature of certain tasks may slow down overall progress and limit the extent of AI's impact on GDP growth.
Richard Socher is the founder and CEO of You.com. Richard previously served as the Chief Scientist and EVP at Salesforce. Before that, Richard was the CEO/CTO of AI startup MetaMind, acquired by Salesforce in 2016. He is widely recognized as having brought neural networks into the field of natural language processing, inventing the most widely used word vectors, contextual vectors and prompt engineering. He has over 150,000 citations and served as an adjunct professor in the computer science department at Stanford.
In Today's Episode with Richard Socher We Discuss:
1. The Decade-Long Journey to Becoming an AI OG:
How did Richard first make his way into the world of AI over a decade ago?
What are 1-2 of his biggest lessons from working with Marc Benioff?
How did 5 years at Salesforce impact how he both thinks and operates?
2. Models: Does Size Matter:
How important is model size? Is data size more important?
What are the biggest misconceptions people have around models today?
How does Richard respond to the suggestion that "many startups are wrappers around LLMs"?
Are hallucinations a feature or a bug?
3. Where Does Value Accrue:
Where does Richard believe most of the value will accrue; startup or incumbent?
Which incumbents are best positioned to win? Which are the laggards and behind?
What do many not see about the startup vs incumbent race in the AI war?