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Odd Lots

Harley Bassman on Trump, the Fed, and the Bond Market

Nov 7, 2024
24:22
Snipd AI
Harley Bassman, managing partner at Simplify Asset Management and creator of Convexity Maven, dives into the bond market's response to Trump's election victory. He discusses the surprising rise in Treasury yields amidst anticipated Fed rate cuts. The conversation shifts to how investor sentiment is reshaping expectations around regulatory changes and market volatility. Bassman also explores the interplay of economic policies and political pressures during Trump's term, revealing the complexities of navigating such a turbulent financial landscape.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Trump's victory spurred a rally in stocks while causing bond yields to rise amid growing concerns over Fed rate decisions.
  • The bond market's volatility reflects a complex interplay of anticipated economic growth and uncertainties regarding Trump's fiscal policies.

Deep dives

Market Reactions Post-Election

The recent election outcome has led to significant market reactions, particularly in the bond and equity markets. Following Trump's victory, equity prices surged, while bond yields increased, indicating a drop in bond prices. This change reflects a broader perception among investors that Trump's policies, which are expected to favor less regulation and lower corporate taxes, are positive for stocks. However, the bond market remains cautious, with the Move Index highlighting ongoing volatility and uncertainties surrounding future Federal Reserve decisions.

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