In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 205: The Peace Crisis that faces Russia after the Ukraine War

Jun 22, 2025
The discussion dives into the looming challenges for Russia as the Ukraine war may come to a close. It highlights the complex narratives shaping public perception and critiques of Putin's regime. The aftermath of military leadership issues, including low morale and societal reintegration of veterans, raises concerns. The stark parallels to the Soviet-Afghan War emphasize historical lessons learned. Additionally, potential rises in organized crime and violent crime in a post-war Russia hint at significant security risks.
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INSIGHT

Mass Veteran Impact in Russia

  • Russia has at least 1.5 million veterans from the Ukraine war compared to 1 million Soviet Afghanistan veterans.
  • This means a much wider societal impact once the war ends due to veteran reintegration challenges.
INSIGHT

Veterans' Health and Crime Challenges

  • Many returning veterans face PTSD and addiction, with some already involved in rising crime rates.
  • This will strain Russia's under-resourced health and social systems significantly.
ANECDOTE

Convict Soldier's Crime Example

  • Ilya Metlitsky got a 16-year sentence for murder but joined Wagner, was released early, and later committed assault.
  • His veteran status led to a fine instead of prison, highlighting justice issues for convict-soldiers.
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