The Implications of Criminal Violence and Organized Crime in Post-War Russia

There is a range of serious practical problems that an end to the war in Ukraine -- whenever that may be -- will pose for the Kremlin. However, if the Soviet war in Afghanistan is any comparison, arguably every bit as important will be the narratives, how people frame the war and use it to attack or defend Putin's regime. I feel this is a political challenge they are not well suited to master.

My report Trouble at home: Russia's looming demobilization challenge can be downloaded from the Global Initiative site here.

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