Trump Is “Kitchen Sinking” The US Economy | Darius Dale

In this episode, Darius Dale of 42Macro joins the show to discuss Trump transitioning the US economy to a new paradigm, the potential for a recession and its impact on markets, and the threat of a debt refinancing air pocket. We also delve into why the Fed needs to transition to QE, how to approach portfolio allocation and risk management, and more. Enjoy!

—

Follow Darius: https://x.com/DariusDale42

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx

—

Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv

—

At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.

Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/

Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:06) Key Market Narratives

(04:03) Trump's Economic Vision

(13:28) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(14:39) Trump's Economic Vision (Con't)

(16:02) Technical vs. Actual Recession

(20:02) Credit Cycle and Market Positioning

(25:13) Market Pricing for Recession

(30:15) Fiscal Policy and Tax Cuts

(32:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)

(33:54) Federal Reserve's Mandates and QE

(37:26) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing

(43:50) Portfolio Construction and Risk Management

(47:34) KISS Portfolio System

(52:29) Managing Different Opinions & Systematic Investing

—

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.