Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford DANGER: Rocks Ahead!
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Nov 15, 2019 Discover the harrowing tale of the Torrey Canyon, a massive ship that faced disaster due to poor navigation decisions. Explore the history of maritime mishaps that emphasize the importance of following guidelines. Delve into the concept of plan-continuation bias and how it leads both professionals and everyday people astray. Learn about the critical need for adaptability in high-pressure situations, illustrated through gripping stories of decision-making emergencies. This cautionary exploration highlights the dangers of rigidity and inaction.
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Scilly Isles Shipwrecks
- In 1707, the Royal Navy suffered a devastating loss near the Isles of Scilly.
- Multiple ships, including HMS Association and HMS Romney, wrecked, resulting in hundreds of deaths.
Torrey Canyon's Approach
- On March 18, 1967, the supertanker Torrey Canyon approached the Seven Stones reef.
- Captain Guy Follich, on a nearby fishing boat, observed the tanker's risky course with astonishment.
Time Pressure and Inertia
- A radio message from Milford Haven pressured Captain Ruggiati to arrive by 11 pm to catch a high tide.
- Missing the tide would cause a six-day delay and significant financial losses.