Know Your Risk Podcast

When Markets Go Parabolic

12 snips
Jan 31, 2026
Chase Taylor, a macro analyst known for market commentary and risk management, joins to unpack parabolic moves and hedging in volatile markets. They cover why retail speculation fuels metals rallies. They debate when to avoid parabolas, miner valuation for timing, RAM shortages hitting tech, and how Fed appointments shape monetary risk.
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INSIGHT

Parabolas Are Human-Driven Momentum

  • Parabolic price moves usually come from human behavior and speculative momentum, not fundamental earnings changes.
  • Zach Abraham warns these moves create resistance and FOMO patterns that often precede sharp reversals.
ANECDOTE

Hedged Gold Trade Post-Mortem

  • Zach describes hedging two-thirds of their gold exposure by shorting after gold hit big round levels like $5,000.
  • He regretted it at first but the hedge later buffered losses when metals reversed sharply.
ADVICE

Plan Hedges Before Emotions Hit

  • Script a game plan before entering large, concentrated positions and decide triggers for hedging or trimming.
  • Zach says sticking to a pre-made plan reduces emotional mistakes during high-volatility moves.
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