Scott is joined by Eric Ciaramella, a Lawfare contributing editor and Ukraine expert, alongside Benjamin Wittes, to dissect recent shifts in U.S. foreign policy. They explore President Trump's newfound support for Ukraine, the significant personnel cuts at the State Department, and the ongoing tensions with Russia. The conversation highlights how these changes affect international dynamics and American diplomacy. Additionally, the implications of military engagement with Iran's nuclear program are critically examined, raising questions about intelligence integrity.
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insights INSIGHT
Trump's Ukraine Policy Shift
President Trump shifted from skepticism to conditional support for Ukraine due to diplomatic efforts and Russia's resistance to ceasefire talks.
Europe's role in funding arms and congressional pressure influenced this durable policy pivot favoring Ukraine.
insights INSIGHT
Russia's Costly Slow Offensive
Russia's summer offensive achieves slow territorial gains at great human cost.
Continued NATO and U.S. support, despite drawdown concerns, challenges Putin's expectations of quick victory.
insights INSIGHT
State Department Cuts Damage Diplomacy
The State Department's dramatic personnel cuts disrupt diplomatic capacity and morale amid increased responsibilities.
Coordinated planning suffers as key bureaucratic and NSC roles decrease, risking chaotic foreign policy execution.
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This week, Scott sat down with his Lawfare colleagues Benjamin Wittes and Eric Ciaramella to talk through the week’s big national security news stories, including:
“With Arms Wide Open.” After years of open skepticism toward Ukraine (and uncharacteristic deference to Russia), it seems President Trump may have turned a page. His rhetoric has grown cooler toward Russian President Vladimir Putin, and he has proven more willing to provide arms to Ukraine, even over contrary efforts by some of his advisers—including an agreement to provide Ukraine with Patriot missiles and other U.S.-made, Europe-funded weapons. What explains this switch? And how durable is it likely to prove?
“Hitting Foggy Bottom.” Just days after the Supreme Court removed a preliminary injunction, the State Department went forward with substantial personnel cuts, RIFing 1,350 foreign and civil service personnel in Washington, D.C. It’s all part of a much broader reorganization that State Department leadership claims will make the Department leaner or more efficient, even as it guts personnel working on issues disfavored by the Trump administration.
“Waiting for the Intel Impressment.” Since the Trump administration’s June 21 airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, a heated debate has raged over their effects. The administration maintains the strikes were “historically successful” and permanently set back the Iranian nuclear program. But media reports source to people within the intelligence community have suggested a much more limited effect. How should we weigh these competing claims? And when will we know the truth?
In object lessons, Ben asks for your public service in supporting Lawfare’s Public Service Fellowship. Scott pulled a Quinta with his recommendation of the New Yorker essay “Zohran Mamdani and Mahmoud Khalil Are in on the Joke,” by Hanif Abdurraquib. And Eric makes his summer travels epic by listening to the podcast, The Rest is History.
The Lawfare Podcast