Increments #74 - Disagreeing about Belief, Probability, and Truth (w/ David Deutsch)
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Oct 1, 2024 
David Deutsch, an influential thinker and author renowned for his contributions to the philosophy of science and quantum computation, takes center stage. He delves into whether belief is a useful lens for understanding cognition and debates the role of probability in meaningful analysis. The conversation challenges the limits of Bayesian reasoning, explores the complexities of truth, and critiques Popper's theories. Deutsch also reflects on the intricacies of language, creativity, and how they intersect with our understanding of reality.
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Belief as a Misleading Category
- David Deutsch argues against using "belief" to analyze ideas, finding it misleading.
- He suggests focusing on how we use theories and ideas instead of quantifying belief.
Cosmology and Belief
- Host Benny Chugg mentions David Deutsch's cautious approach to cosmology theories.
- Deutsch's hesitation stems from the rapid changes and revolutions in the field.
Paradoxes of Belief
- Deutsch highlights paradoxes related to belief, like Hempel's paradox and the Popper-Miller theorem.
- These paradoxes challenge the idea of quantifying belief and its implications for truth.