Prof G Markets: OpenAI’s $90 Billion Valuation, FTC Takes on Amazon, and The Recession is Coming
Oct 2, 2023
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Scott shares his thoughts on OpenAI's $90 billion valuation and Amazon's investment in Anthropic. Ed debates the FTC's case against Amazon. Scott explains why he thinks a recession is on the way.
The bottom 80% of Americans have depleted their pandemic savings, leading to decreased personal savings across income groups.
OpenAI is considering a new share sale at a valuation between $80 and $90 billion, highlighting continued interest in AI technology.
Deep dives
US economy faces concerns as pandemic savings dwindle
A recent Federal Reserve study shows that the bottom 80% of Americans by wealth have depleted their pandemic savings and now have less cash on hand than before the pandemic. Personal savings have declined across all income groups, with the bottom two-fifths of earners experiencing an 8% decrease compared to an 8% increase among the top 20%. These declining savings come at a time of rising interest rates, which have increased the cost of borrowing in the US.
FTC files antitrust lawsuit against Amazon
The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has filed an antitrust lawsuit against Amazon, accusing the company of operating an illegal monopoly. The suit alleges that Amazon has engaged in anti-competitive tactics, such as overcharging sellers, reducing quality for consumers, and penalizing merchants who offer lower prices on competing sites. Amazon has stated that it will challenge the lawsuit in court, claiming that the FTC is wrong on the facts and the law.
OpenAI explores new share sale at $80-90 billion valuation
OpenAI, an artificial intelligence (AI) company, is reportedly considering a new share sale at a valuation between $80 and $90 billion. This valuation would be three times greater than its January valuation when Microsoft made a $10 billion investment in the company. If it reaches this valuation, OpenAI would become the third most valuable private company in the world. The potential share sale highlights the continued interest and investment in AI technology.
Predictions of an upcoming recession
There are predictions of an impending recession in the US economy. Factors contributing to this forecast include the end of COVID-19 stimulus capital, an increase in student loan repayments, rising interest rates, and a decrease in job openings. The timing of the recession is estimated to be in the first half of next year, but some believe that government intervention during an election cycle might delay or prevent a recession from occurring.
This week on Prof G Markets, Scott shares his thoughts on OpenAI’s new valuation and Amazon’s investment in Anthropic. He also debates the FTC’s case against Amazon with Ed. Finally, he explains why he thinks a recession is on the way (for real this time).