MLB Thursday Preview + Best Bets !!

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Thursday betting card. 🎙️ On July 4th week’s MLB slate, Munaf and Griffin methodically dissected eight games, highlighting strong betting angles. The standout pick was Griffin’s confidence in the White Sox (+118) against Cleveland due to Logan Allen's decline and Chicago’s solid home series starts. Munaf emphasized the Yankees-Mariners over (total 9), based on Marcus Stroman’s home game trend (13 of last 14 home starts went over). The Orioles, despite being underdogs, gained value with Charlie Morton's resurgence and David Peterson’s road struggles (Mets 1–7 in Peterson road starts). Several games showed questionable favorites (e.g., Colin Rea for Cubs, Walker Buehler for Red Sox), prompting dog or over bets. Spencer Strider’s dominance was respected, but skepticism loomed over Atlanta's market overvaluation. Patrick Corbin’s road favorite status was labeled a “fade.” Padres gained favor against Arizona's crumbling bullpen, despite Eduardo Rodriguez's strikeout potential.

📉 Mets' Road Struggles: They're 1–7 in David Peterson's road starts this season.

🔥 Charlie Morton's Rebound: After early struggles, Morton is pitching strongly for the Orioles, providing a live home dog edge.

🏡 Twins at Home: With a 26–18 home record, they're a profitable target against inconsistent away teams like the Cubs.

⚾ Stroman Yankee Overs: 13 of his last 14 home starts went over the total, making Yankees over bets a hot trend.

🧱 Cubs Overvalued: Public perception often overrates the Cubs, skewing lines in their favor even when performance dips.

⚔️ Eduardo Rodriguez Road Woes: A 7.03 ERA in night games and inflated road ERA makes him a fade against Padres at home.

💥 JP Sears Vulnerability: High HR rate and weak park factors make Sears risky against Atlanta, even if Braves are overpriced.

📈 Red Sox Scoring Surge: They've scored double digits in 4 of their last 6 wins, with Alex Cora calling it “the deepest lineup we've had in a while”.

🛑 Logan Allen Fading: Cleveland has lost Allen’s last three starts; he’s showing severe road splits (4.23 ERA on the road).

🐟 Marlins Rising: Quiet but impactful improvement through rookie call-ups; Cal Quantrill’s vulnerability at Great American Ballpark offers betting value.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices