VoxTalks Economics
S8 Ep1: Can AI forecasts improve crisis response?
Jan 3, 2025
Margherita Philipp, a data scientist at EconAI, and Hannes Mueller from the Barcelona School of Economics, dive into how AI can revolutionize crisis response. They discuss the promise of anticipatory action for mitigating disasters and the challenges faced in predicting crises, especially those related to climate and conflict. The duo also tackles the balance between explainability and performance in AI forecasting, emphasizing the ethical implications of forecasts in policymaking. Their insights highlight the importance of trust and data in humanitarian efforts.
29:22
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Quick takeaways
- Artificial intelligence can enhance anticipatory action by enabling better predictions of crises, yet integration into existing frameworks remains challenging.
- Effective crisis response depends on high-quality data and collaboration among diverse experts to overcome knowledge gaps in humanitarian strategies.
Deep dives
Collaboration in Humanitarian Forecasting
Collaboration among a diverse group of 25 authors highlights the significant effort behind developing automated prediction systems for humanitarian action. The contributors, comprising economists, policymakers, and practitioners, engaged in a workshop in Barcelona, which served as a catalyst for this publication. They collectively acknowledged the considerable gaps in existing knowledge and the pressing need for better anticipation strategies regarding humanitarian crises. This collaborative approach utilized tools like a shared Google Doc to streamline their input, emphasizing the importance of early and actionable insights in crisis management.
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