
The Julia La Roche Show #310 Larry McDonald: A Credit Crisis Has Already Started 'No Question' And The Great Rotation Ahead That's Creating Opportunities In Beaten Down Stocks
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Nov 24, 2025 Larry McDonald, founder of The Bear Traps Report and bestselling author, warns that a credit crisis has begun with multiple 'idiosyncratic' events affecting markets. He discusses a potential $6-8 trillion rotation from the NASDAQ 100 to value stocks, highlighting beaten-down sectors like coal and natural gas, which offer impressive cash flow yields. McDonald also emphasizes the risks of passive investing concentrating market power and the challenges faced by tech companies during a turbulent economic landscape.
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Credit Often Leads Equities
- Credit markets often lead equities and reveal stress before stocks do.
- Recent divergence shows high-yield weakening while equities hit highs, signaling an early credit mess.
Using Institutional Chats To Spot Shifts
- Larry describes using a global chat of institutional investors to detect sentiment shifts.
- He watches when multiple independent pros pivot from bullish to bearish as a key red flag.
Idiosyncratic Events Are Becoming Contagion
- Multiple 'idiosyncratic' credit events are accumulating and losing their isolated nature.
- Sixteen-plus discrete blows indicate contagion spreading across loans, REITs, data centers and private credit.






