Thinkers & Ideas

Warhead with Dr. Nicholas Wright

Oct 14, 2025
Dr. Nicholas Wright, a neuroscientist at University College London and Georgetown University, unveils how our brain influences warfare in his fascinating insights. He discusses the evolutionary roots of conflict driven by survival instincts and how prediction error shapes military strategies. The interaction between the amygdala and prefrontal cortex plays a crucial role in decision-making during crises. Wright also emphasizes the importance of advancing AI for better decision-making in combat and argues that understanding neuroscience could lead to more effective leadership in both military and political realms.
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INSIGHT

Brains Use Models And Prediction Errors

  • Brains build internal models linking senses to actions to achieve goals across species.
  • Prediction errors (when expectations fail) drive learning and are central to how war unfolds.
ANECDOTE

Blitzkrieg Demonstrates Surprise Power

  • Wright uses the 1940 Blitzkrieg to show how surprise exploited prediction errors to rout superior Allied forces.
  • Shock and faster decisions changed minds and outcomes despite material inferiority.
INSIGHT

Orchestra Model Of Brain Systems

  • The brain has multiple systems (e.g., amygdala for fear, prefrontal cortex for reflection) that must coordinate like an orchestra.
  • Higher prefrontal regions can control emotion-driven impulses, enabling planned restraint in conflict.
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