Could July’s jobs report lead to a series of rate cuts?

Aug 2, 2024

Mike Feroli, Chief U.S. Economist at J.P. Morgan, and Phoebe White, Head of U.S. Inflation Strategy, dissect the recent July employment report, revealing a modest rise in unemployment and wage growth declines. They analyze the participation rates and sector-specific job gains, while also addressing the broader economic growth of just 1%. The duo explores the Federal Reserve's potential for rate cuts amidst a softening economy, highlighting the market’s expectations for continued easing through next year.

Ask episode

Chapters

Transcript

Episode notes

Intro

00:00 • 2min

Analyzing Employment Trends and Economic Indicators

01:48 • 2min

Economic Growth Trends and Federal Reserve Rate Predictions

03:30 • 2min

Analyzing Future Rate Cuts and Market Expectations

05:09 • 2min

In today’s episode, we dive into the latest U.S. employment report. Join Mike Feroli, Chief U.S. Economist, and Phoebe White, Head of U.S. Inflation Strategy, as they discuss the July employment data, its implications for the labor market and what it means for the Federal Reserve's future actions.

This episode was recorded on August 2, 2024.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication.

This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan.