On Investing

‘Muddiness’ & Uncertainty in the Markets (With Cameron Dawson)

Jun 13, 2025
Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer of NewEdge Wealth, joins the conversation to discuss the complexities of the current economic landscape. They tackle the 'muddiness' in recent data, including the impacts of inflation, tariffs, and corporate margins. The duo emphasizes the importance of international diversification and strategic portfolio construction, especially in uncertain times. With insights into consumer behavior and the bond market, the discussion illuminates the intricate dynamics affecting today's investment strategies.
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INSIGHT

Navigating Muddy Economic Data

  • The economic environment is "muddy," lacking clear data on tariffs' impact and inflation trends.
  • This muddies Fed decisions, causing them to likely remain on hold amid data whipsaw.
INSIGHT

Consumers and Corporate Margins

  • Consumers today are less able to absorb price increases due to less fiscal stimulus and higher finance costs.
  • Companies may struggle to pass on tariff costs, potentially squeezing corporate margins significantly.
INSIGHT

Earnings Divergence: Growth vs Value

  • Earnings estimates have been cut mainly in value stocks, while growth (MAG7) earnings remain stable.
  • If growth earnings hold, expect a concentrated market driven by a few big growth stocks.
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