Monetary Matters with Jack Farley cover image

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Inflation Isn’t Dead | Jim Bianco on Why Bond Yields Are Headed Higher

Oct 16, 2024
Jim Bianco, President and CEO of Bianco Research, shares his expert insights on the current economic landscape. He discusses the surprising rise in unemployment linked to increased immigration and argues inflation isn’t going away anytime soon. Bond yields are anticipated to rise as market responses evolve. The conversation delves into the complexities of labor dynamics, consumer credit issues, and investment strategies amid shifting interest rates, painting a vivid picture of today's financial challenges.
01:25:34

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Jim Bianco highlights that rising unemployment rates are largely driven by increased immigration, complicating traditional views of the labor market.
  • The unexpected rise in bond yields following recent Fed interest rate cuts suggests market skepticism about the effectiveness of aggressive monetary policy.

Deep dives

Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts on Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve recently cut interest rates by 50 basis points, which led to an unexpected increase in interest rates across the market. Historically, rate cuts usually result in lower interest rates, but this time, yields, particularly on 10-year notes, rose significantly. Observers suggest that this unusual response indicates that the market may be rejecting the Fed's rapid rate cut, fearing overstimulation of the economy could reignite inflation. Consequently, this move has negatively affected mortgage rates as well, defying the typical expectation that cuts would lead to lower borrowing costs.

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