Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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10 snips
Oct 30, 2025 • 1h 14min

Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

Joseph Wang, a former senior trader at the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com, dives into the Fed's recent decision to halt quantitative tightening. He discusses the stress in the repo market and predicts the need for the Fed to expand its balance sheet to maintain liquidity. Topics include the implications of rising repo demand due to fiscal deficits, potential impacts on mortgage rates from MBS sales, and the balance sheet's role in controlling interest rates. Wang also examines stock market momentum driven by AI and the complexities of Fed independence.
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4 snips
Oct 29, 2025 • 1h 58min

The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

Michael Howell, founder of Global Liquidity Indexes and author of Capital Wars, shares critical insights on global liquidity trends. He highlights a concerning decline in U.S. Federal Reserve liquidity due to intense repo market pressures while China pumps over 7 trillion Yuan into its economy, drastically impacting gold prices. Howell warns of a growing East-West financial divide and predicts that 2026 may not be kind to financial assets. He also discusses debt-likelihood ratios and advises core allocations to inflation hedges, including Bitcoin.
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7 snips
Oct 28, 2025 • 57min

Credit Concern is Overblown Argues Financials Hedge Fund Manager Beating the S&P 500 | Derek Pilecki of Gator Capital

Derek Pilecki, manager of Gator Capital, has been beating the S&P 500 with over 22% annual compounding since 2008. In this chat, he argues that fears around the financial sector are overblown, presenting recent sell-offs as buying chances. Derek discusses the balance of macro views and stock selection, the role of thought leadership in attracting investors, and shares insights on running both hedge and mutual funds. He also reflects on his transition from Goldman to launching Gator Capital and the importance of disciplined fundraising.
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35 snips
Oct 22, 2025 • 42min

The Core of Dollar Weakness | George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's Head of FX Research, on Growth Differentials, Fed Rate Cuts, and 4% U.S. Current Account as Key Threshold For USD Declines

George Saravelos, Global Head of FX Research at Deutsche Bank, shares insights into the currency market, focusing on the recent dollar weakness linked to narrowing growth differentials between the U.S. and other economies. He discusses how emerging markets influence FX dynamics and the impact of Fed rate cuts on dollar strength. Saravelos also examines the correlation between the dollar and equities, the factors driving flows in currency markets, and highlights opportunities in emerging market currencies. A deep dive into the complex world of foreign exchange!
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35 snips
Oct 20, 2025 • 1h 4min

The Dollar’s Impossible Trifecta | Jon Turek on Why USD Hedging Flows Will Increase Throughout Fed’s Rate Cutting Cycle

Jon Turek, founder of JST Advisors and macro research expert, discusses the shifting dynamics of the dollar in this engaging conversation. He explains why declining U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more appealing for foreign investors and how this could impact the global market. Turek also dives into China's trade surplus, the ongoing gold bull market, and the implications of U.S. fiscal policy on global yield curves. With insights on foreign flows and the Fed’s potential rate cuts, Turek paints a vivid picture of the dollar's future.
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42 snips
Oct 18, 2025 • 38min

Cockroaches in Credit? | Jack & Max on Zion’s Cali CRE Write-off, Big Bank Earnings Blowout, and First Brands Update

Jack and Max dive into the impact of credit issues in California's commercial real estate market. They dissect strong earnings from major banks like JPMorgan and Bank of America while pondering whether recent financial mishaps indicate broader credit stress. The duo also explores reputational risks in finance, private credit's ties to banks, and shifting market sentiment. Plus, Jack shares his optimism about precious metals like gold, highlighting investment strategies amidst volatility. Don’t miss their insights on future economic trends!
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12 snips
Oct 16, 2025 • 36min

Bringing Long/Short Hedge Fund Strategies to ETFs | David Orr (Bonus Episode)

In this engaging discussion, David Orr, a long/short equity manager and head of the Militia Long/Short Equity ETF, shares insights into his unique decision to launch an ETF while successfully running a hedge fund. He tackles challenges like liquidity management, compliance differences between hedge funds and ETFs, and investor adoption hurdles. David also emphasizes the advantages of tax efficiency and scalability with ETFs, while revealing plans for expansion and the importance of transparency in building investor trust. A must-listen for finance aficionados!
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60 snips
Oct 13, 2025 • 1h 15min

What China is Really Doing With Its “Giant Surpluses” | Brad Setser on China’s Export Dominance, Trade Strategy, and Capital Flows

In a lively discussion, Brad Setser, a veteran balance-of-payments expert at the Council on Foreign Relations, examines China’s export surge and its global repercussions. He reveals how China's shifting trade dynamics are pressuring the U.S. and Europe while altering corporate investment strategies. Setser explores the recycling of trade surpluses, the underscored risks of tariffs, and how China’s undervalued yuan connects to its export boom. He also critiques the administration's foreign investment approach, making it a compelling listen for those interested in international economics.
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49 snips
Oct 11, 2025 • 1h 2min

Panic on Wall Street | First Brands’ Credit Shockwave & Trump’s 100% China Tariff Threat

In a gripping discussion, the hosts dissect the fallout from First Brands' staggering $11 billion bankruptcy and its impact on the credit markets. They analyze the risks inherent in the company's auto-focused model and explore which financial firms are left exposed. The conversation turns to Trump's looming 100% tariffs on China, triggering market turbulence. They also debate the implications of AI capital expenditures and how government stakes might influence resource stocks. This insightful episode emphasizes watching credit and preparing for potential volatility.
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21 snips
Oct 8, 2025 • 58min

How Governments Can Actually Raise More Revenues | Taxation Expert Richard Murphy

In this engaging discussion, Richard J Murphy, a political economist and tax reform advocate, shares his insights on taxation and economic repair. He argues that effective tax reform can boost productivity and welfare. Murphy critiques current corporate taxation and suggests focusing on higher income taxes for the wealthy rather than broad wealth taxes. He explains how reducing inequality can stimulate economic demand and proposes aligning tax rates on income and capital gains to eliminate perverse incentives. Don’t miss Murphy’s views on government debt and monetary policy!

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