The Morning Brief

Why Is India Still Buying Russian Oil?

20 snips
Sep 9, 2025
In this discussion, Vandana Hari, an energy markets expert, sheds light on India's rapid shift to becoming a leading buyer of Russian oil since the Ukraine conflict. She explains how Indian refiners are cashing in on discounts, but at what cost? The conversation unveils the delicate dance between economic benefits and mounting diplomatic pressures from the U.S. Hari also explores the potential risks to India's trade ambitions and the ethical dilemmas of profiting from Russian crude, all against the backdrop of tightening global sanctions.
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INSIGHT

Why India Shifted To Russian Oil

  • India began buying Russian oil after 2022 because of price, availability and politics following Europe’s ban.
  • Cheap discounted barrels and redirected tankers made Russia a major supplier for India.
INSIGHT

Discounts Boost Refiners' Margins

  • Russian crude reaches India at roughly $2–$5 a barrel cheaper than comparable grades, delivering meaningful savings.
  • Vandana Hari estimates this discount contributes about $1.50 per barrel to refiners' gross refining margins.
INSIGHT

Logistics Narrow But Don’t Erase Savings

  • Urals trades at a larger theoretical discount but logistics narrow savings; India still gains around $2–$5 per barrel net.
  • Even after freight and insurance, Russian crude remains cheaper than competitive barrels for Indian refiners.
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