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Global Data Pod

Global Data Pod Weekender: Fear is the expansion killer

Mar 14, 2025
Fear is shaping the economic landscape, impacting everything from market confidence to inflation trends. Recent fluctuations in tariffs are raising concerns about potential recession risks, with CEOs wary of future growth. The Federal Reserve's cautious approach highlights the complexities of navigating current economic uncertainties. Global data shows strong services performance, yet challenges remain in commodities and labor markets. As sentiment indicators shift, the importance of upcoming policy decisions looms large for economic stability.
29:27

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The ongoing U.S. policy turmoil, particularly related to tariffs, is significantly impacting economic sentiment and the risk of recession.
  • The Federal Reserve faces challenges in balancing inflation forecasts with economic growth concerns as tariff impacts continue to create uncertainty.

Deep dives

Economic Activity and Sentiment Indicators

The discussion highlights the interpretation of recent economic activity readings as the year begins, particularly in the U.S. The speakers note a moderate downshift in activity but maintain that the underlying economic picture remains solid. However, they emphasize the impact of tariff threats and actual tariff increases on both sentiment and economic activity. With upcoming surveys expected to show whether sentiment damage has already influenced broader economic outcomes, the potential for changes in tariffs remains a crucial factor for future activity projections.

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