S35 E3: "Misbelief What Makes Rational People Believe Irrational Things" by Dan Ariely
Oct 4, 2023
15:55
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Dan Ariely, social scientist, explores the behavior of misbelief leading to distrust of accepted truths and embracing conspiracy theories. He discusses his personal experience with misbelief, factors behind misbelief in rational people such as the need for a villain and cognitive biases, and the impact of social cohesion on belief formation.
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Quick takeaways
Misbelief in society often arises as a response to stress and the need for explanatory narratives.
Confirmation bias and motivated reasoning contribute to the formation and maintenance of misbeliefs.
Deep dives
The Psychology of Misbelief
Dan Arielli, a professor of psychology and behavioral economics, discusses the psychology behind misbelief in his latest book. He explains that fundamental changes in beliefs are often a reaction to stress and the need for a story to explain the unknown. When people face stressful situations that they do not understand, they seek answers and tend to find comfort in narratives that assign blame to external forces rather than accepting personal responsibility. Additionally, cognitive biases, such as confirmation bias and motivated reasoning, contribute to the formation and maintenance of misbeliefs. Personality traits, such as faulty memory and magical ideation, can also make individuals more susceptible to misbelief. The social component, including ostracism and the need for social cohesion, further influences our beliefs and can lead to a breakdown of trust within society.
The Funnel of Misbelief
Arielli introduces the concept of the funnel of misbelief, which consists of four major psychological elements. The first element is the emotional component, specifically the stress that arises when individuals feel uncertain about the world around them. This stress triggers a deep need for an explanatory story, often attributing negative events to villains rather than positive forces. The second element is the cognitive component, involving biased information search and motivated reasoning. People seek out information that confirms their existing beliefs, while also bending reality to fit their narrative. Personality traits play a role as well, as individuals with characteristics like faulty memory or high levels of intuition are more likely to fall into misbelief. Lastly, the social component, both online and offline, impacts belief formation and influences the level of trust within society.
The Implications of Misbelief
Arielli highlights the significant implications of misbelief for individuals and society as a whole. Misbelief erodes trust, which is an essential foundation of social cohesion and cooperation. As trust diminishes, societal challenges become more difficult to address effectively. The loss of trust also leads to increased polarization and division, as people seek out like-minded individuals who share their misbeliefs. Arielli emphasizes the importance of recognizing the detrimental effects of misbelief in order to cultivate a society built on trust, collaboration, and a shared understanding of reality.