
The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show 366. 2025 Issuance Tops $120B, Fannie/Freddie Lending Caps, NYC–Cincinnati Office Pricing Gaps, Market Trends & More
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Dec 5, 2025 Explore the dynamics of the commercial real estate market, influenced by macroeconomic factors. Learn about Fannie and Freddie's new lending caps and the significant rise in private-label CMBS issuance, exceeding $120 billion in 2025. Discover how inflation impacts consumer spending and housing trends, particularly for millennials. The hosts delve into intriguing multifamily and retail transactions, showcasing stark price variations between NYC and Cincinnati office spaces. Tune in for insights that span various real estate sectors.
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Slowdown Not Collapse
- The macro backdrop is slowing but not collapsing, creating cautious demand in CRE and multifamily.
- Higher rates sustain valuation pressure while elevated caps for agencies provide liquidity relief.
Underwrite Deeper Than Headlines
- Dig deeper than headlines and underwrite carefully given uneven fundamentals across sectors.
- Focus on property-level quality and location when assessing risk and pricing.
Holiday Sales Mask Underlying Weakness
- Black Friday online sales rose but order volumes fell while average prices rose, suggesting inflation and higher-ticket items drove growth.
- Nearly $747 million of Black Friday purchases used buy-now-pay-later, signaling growing credit reliance.
