In this podcast, Adam Posen discusses his objections to Bidenomics, including subsidies to private companies. The comparison between pandemic response and the climate emergency is explored, advocating for urgent action. The global implications of Bidenomics are analyzed, including concerns about the subsidy race and its impact on the poorest countries. The argument linking China's growth and subsidies is disputed, emphasizing the importance of domestic savings and investment.
Subsidizing private companies in Bidenomics may not generate expected manufacturing jobs and could lead to corruption and trade protection issues.
Bidenomics should focus on tighter regulation, R&D subsidies, infrastructure, and consumer subsidies for green products, while prioritizing international cooperation to avoid harmful subsidy races and spread green technology globally.
Deep dives
Objections to Bidenomics
Adam Pozen raises several objections to Bidenomics. Firstly, he criticizes the idea of too much subsidies going directly to private companies, as it may not generate the expected manufacturing jobs. He also highlights the risk of corruption associated with entrenching companies as preferred providers with trade protections and government relationships. Additionally, Pozen expresses concerns about the escalating subsidies competition between countries and the preference for domestic production, which may hinder technological outcomes. Lastly, he warns against repeating the mistakes made with COVID vaccines by not prioritizing international side payments and grants in the green transition.
Flawed Theory Behind Bidenomics
Adam Pozen argues that the theory behind Bidenomics is fundamentally flawed. He disagrees with the approach of subsidizing private companies to achieve numerous goals, such as combating inequality, reversing climate change, and revolutionizing technology. According to Pozen, this one-fix strategy is unlikely to be successful. Instead, he suggests a more focused approach, including tighter regulation, subsidies for R&D, infrastructure, and consumer subsidies for green products. He emphasizes the importance of international cooperation and avoiding political entrenchment and corruption.
Impact of Bidenomics on Global Context
Adam Pozen believes that the impact of Bidenomics extends beyond the United States. He agrees that it could have disruptive effects globally, particularly in terms of a subsidy race among countries. He points out the inherent danger of such a race, as it may disproportionately harm the poorest nations that cannot compete. Moreover, Pozen argues that an inward-focused approach and disregard for international cooperation in spreading green technology could hinder the desired global impact. He advocates for a more comprehensive strategy that considers the worldwide adoption of the best green technology at affordable costs.
Will Bidenomics help the US Democrats win another term in office? Will the policies be effective in tackling the climate crisis? Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, thinks not. In the last in our series on Bidenomics, he tells Gideon why offering incentives to private sector businesses is, in his view, a bad strategy.