

Trump’s new Europe: From ally to adversary
May 16, 2025
Célia Belin, head of ECFR’s Paris office and a senior policy fellow, shares her insights on the implications of Donald Trump's potential return to the White House. She argues that Trump's foreign policy, while seemingly chaotic, follows a clear ideology that positions Europe as a target rather than an ally. The conversation explores the challenges of transatlantic trust, the impact on European leaders, and what a 'MAGA-shaped Europe' might look like, emphasizing the need for Europe to assert its identity amidst rising nationalism.
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Trump's Foreign Policy Consistency
- Donald Trump's foreign policy is driven by a consistent ideology rather than chaos or impulsiveness.
- His doctrine involves viewing Europe as a target for intimidation or transformation, aligned with his political worldview.
Europe as Trump's Political Opponent
- Trump perceives Europe as an extension of his domestic political opposition.
- He seeks to transform European politics to align with his nationalist MAGA ideology or confront Europe.
Trump's Leadership Preferences in Europe
- Trump prefers strongman leaders who can decisively deliver results.
- He distrusts coalition or bureaucratic leadership typical in Europe, favoring national power concentration.