Keeping it Simple with Simplify Asset Management

Keeping it Simple | Ep.38: Are We Fourth Turning Japanese? Or Is It Different this Time?

Jul 15, 2024

Neil Howe discusses historical cycles and saeculi, focusing on generational dynamics and realigning elections. The conversation delves into counterculture movements, economic strategies, and political affiliations, highlighting the impact of historical events on societal cycles and governmental interventions.

01:15:53

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Episode guests

Neil Howe

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Quick takeaways

Generational cycles impact societal progress through conflict and reshaping institutions.

Technology plays a crucial role in societal rebirth and community-focused development.

Inflation and financial repression are government strategies to manage debt burdens and reshape entitlement programs.

Deep dives

Historical Cycle of Crisis and Reshaping

The podcast delves into Neil Howe's theory of the generational cycle, focusing on crisis eras spanning over decades. Howe explains the morphology of crisis eras, including precursors, regeneracy, and consolidation leading to reshaping. His theory emphasizes how internal conflicts often lead to external dimensions, with history showcasing community development through conflict. Howe discusses reshaping institutions through historic events like the Great Depression and World War II.

Understanding Generations Through Their Underlying Nature

02:59

The Paradox of Generational Progress

03:13

Institutional Restructuring and Nihilism in Society

03:10

* Generational Conflict and Interest Rates in the 21st Century

04:01

Intro

2min

The Fourth Turning: Historical Cycles and Generational Dynamics

19min

Generational Cycles and Realigning Elections

20min

Historical Perspectives on New Deals, Counterculture, and Economic Strategies

15min

Exploring Cycles, Political Affiliations, and Trading Patterns

5min

Historical Events, National Formation, and Societal Cycles

10min

Economic Changes, Government Funding, and Event Announcement

4min

Neil Howe joins Mike and Harley for a discussion of cycles and saeculi.

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