One Decision

What a Nuclear Expert Told Us About Iran's Next Moves

Jul 10, 2025
Laura Holgate, former U.S. Ambassador to the IAEA and a nuclear expert, joins the discussion on Iran's precarious nuclear situation. She delves into the importance of IAEA oversight amid growing tensions and the potential ramifications of Iran's decisions following U.S. strikes. The conversation also touches on North Korea's possible data sharing with Iran and the unclear future of Iran's nuclear ambitions. Holgate's insights highlight the complex interplay of international treaties, compliance, and the urgent need for vigilance in nuclear governance.
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INSIGHT

Unknown Damage Extent

  • We don't know the full status of Iran's nuclear program after recent bombings.
  • Even Iran may not fully understand the damage done to their underground nuclear sites yet.
INSIGHT

IAEA Inspection Importance

  • The IAEA's inspections give critical visibility into Iran's nuclear activities.
  • Inspectors use techniques like swipes and cameras to detect undeclared nuclear material or sites.
INSIGHT

Uranium Enrichment Insights

  • Enriching uranium from natural to 20% takes the most effort; going from 60% to 90% is comparatively quick.
  • Iran’s 60% uranium is mainly a political message, not for legitimate civilian use.
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