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Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms

Jul 12, 2024
Global Chief Economist from Boston Consulting Group, Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, discusses macro threats and assessing their seriousness. The podcast covers challenges of tracking book sales, analyzing recent CPI data, AI's impact on labor, navigating economic narratives, types of recessions, geopolitics, and US elections.
01:08:36

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Quick takeaways

  • Macroeconomic threats are intensifying, demanding attention from decision makers.
  • Successful moderation of inflation post-COVID-19 shows economic resilience.

Deep dives

Discussion about CPI Report and Shelter Prices

The podcast delves into the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, highlighting a notable decrease in inflation rates, particularly a 0.1% rise in prices from May to June. The analysis focuses on critical areas like shelter prices, revealing a significant moderation with a 0.2% increase in CPI for shelter. This slower increase in shelter prices, alongside reduced hotel rates, contributed to the overall softening of the CPI figures, indicating a positive trend towards disinflation.

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