Top Traders Unplugged

SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

26 snips
May 3, 2025
Guest
Rob Carver
Rob Carver, a trend follower and author focused on risk management, offers insights into the challenges of trend-following in today's turbulent market. He discusses the evolving nature of safe haven assets, questioning their reliability amid economic shifts. The conversation also touches on the importance of risk management strategies and execution speed during market fluctuations. Carver reflects on past trading experiences, emphasizing lessons learned from significant losses, and advocates for simpler trading strategies as a pathway to success.
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ANECDOTE

Rob's April Performance Experience

  • Rob Carver experienced a 5.5% loss in April within typical industry range.\n- His use of variable risk sizing helped moderate his losses compared to traditional stop loss systems.
INSIGHT

Prepare With Programming and Market Knowledge

  • Young quants entering CTA space must learn programming and market mechanics thoroughly.\n- Practical knowledge about market specifics avoids common pitfalls in trading.
INSIGHT

Drawdowns Are Mathematically Expected

  • Worst drawdowns grow over time as a mathematical certainty, increasing risk exposure.\n- Persistence in trend following becomes a question of faith and belief in the strategy over time.
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