Top Traders Unplugged
SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver
May 3, 2025
Rob Carver, a trend follower and author focused on risk management, offers insights into the challenges of trend-following in today's turbulent market. He discusses the evolving nature of safe haven assets, questioning their reliability amid economic shifts. The conversation also touches on the importance of risk management strategies and execution speed during market fluctuations. Carver reflects on past trading experiences, emphasizing lessons learned from significant losses, and advocates for simpler trading strategies as a pathway to success.
01:09:11
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Quick takeaways
- The podcast highlights a shift in perceptions of U.S. Treasury bonds as safe haven assets amidst rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.
- Rob Carver discusses the impact of rapid market reversals on trend followers, emphasizing the challenges posed by current volatile conditions.
Deep dives
Understanding Safe Haven Assets
The podcast discusses the evolving perception of safe haven assets amidst changing market dynamics. Traditionally, U.S. Treasury bonds have been seen as a go-to asset during financial turmoil, often likened to basic necessities like potatoes in economic theory. However, recent trends indicate a decline in investor confidence in Treasury bonds as a safe option, raising questions about their reliability in times of crisis. This shift challenges long-held investing assumptions and highlights the complexities of current economic conditions, such as rising interest rates and possible stagflation.
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