On The Margin cover image

On The Margin

The Fed Wants To Ease, Will The Everything Rally Continue? | Warren Pies

Jun 5, 2024
Warren Pies, Founder of 3Fourteen Research, discusses the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, oil market impact on inflation & bond yields, and the Fed's strategy regarding easing. Topics also include rent inflation, core PCE target challenges, and speculations on Fed's monetary policy amid elections.
48:37

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve's leaning towards rate cuts and dismissal of hikes impact market forecasts.
  • Oil prices significantly influence major asset classes and inflation measures like CPI swaps, often overlooked by analysts.

Deep dives

The Fed's Stance on Rate Cuts and Oil Trends

The Federal Reserve is leaning towards rate cuts while dismissing the possibility of hikes, impacting market forecasts. The potential for oil price peaks influences long bond yields. A disinflationary trend in the market is expected due to oil and the Fed's actions.

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