Dream Podcast - NBA Playoff Best Bet + Deep Dive NFL & More !
May 23, 2024
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Sports betting expert RJ Bell, along with Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik, analyze best bets in NBA playoffs, NFL strategies, and betting trends. Discussions include NFL team performances, strategies for the upcoming season, impact of quarterbacks on offense, WNBA analysis, and NBA playoff betting strategies.
Quarterback impact on team offense performance is crucial in the NFL analysis discussed in the podcast.
Minnesota Timberwolves showcase potential for a comeback using the zigzag strategy in the NBA playoffs.
Dallas Mavericks demonstrate strong defense despite concerns over Luca's scoring, making them a formidable force in the NBA playoffs.
Deduction of six and a half points for predicting totals in NBA game sevens contrasts with the trend in NHL game sevens.
Deep dives
Kansas City Chiefs Offense and QB Depth Assessment
Kansas City's offense is currently 2.7 points better than an average team, with a below-average offense if Mahomes, their quarterback, is replaced by an average starting quarterback, making it a 27th ranked offense.
Buffalo Bills Offensive Evaluation
Buffalo's offense, adjusted for strength of schedule, is only 0.4 points better than an average offense. With an average quarterback, Buffalo's offense falls below average, showcasing the reliance on Josh Allen's performance.
Baltimore Ravens Offense Rating
Baltimore possesses an offense that is 2.1 points better than an average offense. A average quarterback would render Baltimore slightly below average offensively, emphasizing the impact of Lamar Jackson's role in their offensive success.
Cincinnati Bengals and Joe Burrow Comparison
Cincinnati's offense is rated at 2.5, with Burrow's contribution valued at 3 points. This indicates a league-average offense if Burrow's performance was reduced to average levels, highlighting the significant role of Joe Burrow in the Bengals' offensive efficiency.
Minnesota Timberwolves Game Two Favoritism
After losing the first game at home as a favorite in the series against Dallas in the NBA playoffs, Minnesota Timberwolves rebound uncontested in game two as a best bet. The line for game two is at minus four and a half or minus five, offering a favorable opportunity to back Minnesota.
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Strength
Despite concerns about Luca's recent scoring patterns in the Dallas Mavericks, the team shows immense defensive prowess making them a formidable force. The Mavericks are currently favored at minus 165 for the series against Minnesota Timberwolves.
WNBA Zigzag Strategy
Applying the zigzag strategy in the WNBA playoffs, Minnesota Timberwolves provide an intriguing opportunity after losing game one at home. The line for game two is similar to that of game one, indicating a favorable trend for Minnesota to bounce back strongly.
Game Seven Totals Strategy
For NBA game sevens, predicting totals involves deducting six and a half points from the total of the preceding game. Conversely, NHL game sevens exhibit different trends with bookmakers often failing to adjust totals accordingly.