Experts rank the leading threats to US national security, including domestic terrorism, conflicts in the Middle East, and migration issues. The hosts discuss concerns about political polarization, the use of AI, and China's actions in the region. They also address grievances with US Middle East policy and celebrate reaching 1 million listens.
Political polarization in the United States is a high priority threat, leading to domestic terrorism and acts of political violence during the 2024 presidential election.
The ongoing conflict between Hamas and Israel is listed as a high priority threat, with potential for escalating clashes and regional instability.
A surge of migration on the southern border driven by violence, corruption, and economic hardship in Central America and Mexico is identified as a high priority threat.
Deep dives
Political polarization and domestic terrorism
Political polarization in the United States is identified as a high priority threat, leading to domestic terrorism and acts of political violence during the 2024 presidential election.
Protracted war between Hamas and Israel
The ongoing conflict between Hamas and Israel is listed as a high priority threat, with potential for escalating clashes and regional instability.
Migration on the southern border
A surge of migration on the southern border driven by violence, corruption, and economic hardship in Central America and Mexico is identified as a high priority threat.
Biden administration's struggle with clear messaging on immigration
The Biden administration has struggled to provide a clear message on immigration, leading to a perception that anyone can enter the country. The lack of a clear message has affected public opinion, with polling data showing that Biden receives low ratings on handling the border. This issue has become a tool for Republicans in the electoral year. Democrats could have addressed this issue earlier to avoid its impact on the upcoming presidential election.
Experts' ranking of threats and challenges
Experts recently ranked a list of potential threats and challenges, with eight issues deemed moderately likely with high impact on US national interests. These include escalation of the war in Ukraine, increased military pressure by China towards Taiwan, direct military confrontation between Iran and Israel, highly disruptive cyber attacks on US critical infrastructure, and acute security crisis in Northeast Asia triggered by North Korea. However, the ranking of these issues and the limited number of high likelihood events raises concerns about the capacity of the US to address multiple threats simultaneously. Additionally, the ranking reflects experts' attention on issues affecting the US directly, such as political polarization and the border, while overlooking other important global challenges.
Chris, Melanie and Zack review the Council on Foreign Relations’ annual Preventive Priorities Survey, which asked foreign policy experts to rank 30 current and possible future conflicts relative to their likelihood and impact on U.S. national interests. The leading threat, according to these experts, was of political violence or domestic terrorism in the United States associated with the 2024 presidential election. Other leading threats were the possibility of a wider war in the Middle East arising out of the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, and of continued migration from Central America and Mexico. The three consider these, as well as others that fell farther down the list, and asked, how can these be prioritized? What is being done to stop them? And what is the broader value in engaging in these ranking exercises in the first place?
Grievances for the Biden administration’s short-sighted new regulations on liquified natural gas, U.S. Middle East policy (does it make sense to anyone?), and the way our broken politics manages to infect even an all-American love story like Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce. Can we just give it a rest?
Attaboys to Navy Comptroller and friend-of-War of the Rocks Russell Rumbaugh, and Capt. Chris “Chowda” Hill, the commanding officer of the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN-69), and to the show for reaching 1 million downloads.