House of Strauss HoS: Steve Kuhn on Sportspredict.com
Sep 4, 2025
Steve Kuhn, the founder of Sportspredict.com and a former hedge fund analyst, dives into the world of sports predictions free from gambling. He discusses the appeal of competitive prediction platforms, arguing that many NFL coaches are guilty of decision-making malpractice. Kuhn shares insights on what defines a good predictor, tackles the implications of high altitude on game strategies, and champions the idea of 'Fourth and Smart' to revolutionize decision-making in sports, blending analytics with traditional coaching.
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Predicting From Childhood To Hedge Funds
- Steve Kuhn has been predicting sports with family since age eight and ran a hedge fund for decades.
- That experience drove him to build SportsPredict to measure forecasting skill without gambling.
Trade The Price, Not Just The Pick
- Use market prices as a core part of your prediction process and only target opportunities where price misaligns with your edge.
- Track average win/loss per trade to build a verifiable rating and avoid being fooled by small samples.
Hunt Contextual Edges Like Altitude
- Exploit contextual factors the market may miss, like modest altitude gains for long field goals.
- Research specific situational edges before placing a prediction to justify prices.
