Forward Guidance

The Debt Ceiling Approaches | Joseph Wang & Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

May 28, 2023
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Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
2
The US Debt Ceiling and the Debt Limits
03:11 • 6min
3
The US Treasury Runs Out of Money
09:09 • 4min
4
The New York Fed's Plan to Prioritize Payments
13:29 • 3min
5
The Benefits of Investing in Treasury Bills
16:23 • 2min
6
The Fed's Dilemma
18:25 • 6min
7
The Fed's Toolkits for Fiscal Dominance
24:05 • 3min
8
What Counts as a Default?
26:37 • 3min
9
The Fed Is Withdrawing Operational Risk From the Market Rather Than Helping to Fund a Huge Deficit
29:23 • 2min
10
Don't Fight the Fed
30:54 • 2min
11
The Fed's Playbook From the Last Debt Ceiling
32:25 • 4min
12
The Twilight Zone: A Political Channel for Negotiation
36:07 • 3min
13
The TGA Balance Treasury General Account
39:30 • 2min
14
The Magical Extraordinary Measures to Lower Non Marketable Debt
41:53 • 3min
15
The Treasury's Extraordinary Measure to Fund a Deficit
44:43 • 3min
16
The Consequences of Less Non Marketable Securities
48:07 • 2min
17
The Debt Ceiling Resolution and the Liquidity Drain
50:03 • 2min
18
The TGA and Reserves in the Treasury
51:56 • 5min
19
The Treasury's Forecast for Bill Issues in 2021
56:52 • 2min
20
The Fed's Volatility and the Crisis
58:30 • 3min
21
The Resilience of the US Economy
01:01:12 • 2min
22
The Implosion of the Housing Market
01:03:24 • 4min
23
The Impact of Bank Lending on the Economy
01:07:25 • 2min
24
The Taylor Rule and the Fed's 8% Call
01:09:34 • 5min
25
The Debt Ceiling and the Federal Reserve's Potential Response
01:14:28 • 3min
26
The Fed's Quantitative Tightening Threat to US Politics
01:17:13 • 3min