Macro Sunday #41 - Commodities breaking out - including Crypto! Guest: Mads Eberhardt
Mar 17, 2024
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The podcast discusses commodities like oil, copper, and silver breaking out, along with the strong inflow to Bitcoin. Topics include comparisons of government investments in China, US, and Europe, potential ramifications of a cryptocurrency ETF approval, solo staking in the crypto community, detailed analysis of bank meetings and market trends, and insights into monetary policies and China's manufacturing momentum.
Chinese economic growth drives commodity market optimism, especially in metals.
Divergence in US and European economic recovery approaches highlighted by GDP growth disparities.
Deep dives
Impacts of Chinese Economic Optimism on Commodities
The optimism surrounding the Chinese economy is reflected in the commodities market, especially metals. China's role as the largest buyer of commodities like copper directly links its economic growth to the global market trends in this sector.
US Economic Growth Consensus and Slow European Recovery
While the US economy is experiencing optimism and a growth consensus among economists, Europe lags behind in government investments and fiscal stimulus. The slower growth in European GDP highlights the differences in economic recovery approaches between the US and Europe.
Challenges in Chinese Real Estate Market and Government Support
Chinese struggles in boosting consumer spending due to real estate market uncertainties have led to government interventions to support the housing sector. Efforts to stabilize the real estate market and stimulate consumer class growth reflect the challenges faced by Chinese policymakers.
German Fiscal Policy and Implications on European Economic Trends
Germany's fiscal policies, focusing on maintaining budget control and limiting deficits, impact European economic trends. Discussions around potential reforms to allow for greater deficits in Germany may influence broader EU policies on government spending and economic stimulus measures.
Oil, Copper and Silver have broken out of recent ranges and the overall commodity picture is starting to look technically compelling. Meanwhile, the inflow to the “digital commodity” Bitcoin remains strong leaving to new records by the day! We look into the physical and digital commodity markets in this weeks Macro Sunday. Guest: Mads Eberhardt
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