For months, leaders of the Democratic Party and President Biden have been bracing for huge losses in the upcoming midterm elections. Today, “The Daily” explores a new New York Times poll that complicates that thinking — and could set the stage for a very different showdown in November.

Guest: Nate Cohn, a domestic correspondent for The Upshot at The New York Times.

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Background reading: 

• Here’s what a new Times poll shows about divisions and dissatisfaction in the United States.

For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.