RJ Bell, AJ Hoffman, Steve Fezzik, and Scott Seidenberg discuss NFL free agency moves, team strategies, player contracts, and trade scenarios. They analyze the Giants' QB-RB dynamic, critique the Eagles' GM, and explore recent NFL contract extensions. The podcast also delves into NBA teams' performance post All-Star break and betting trends.
Texans improved defense with Neil Hunter and Joe Mixon acquisitions.
Concerns over Kirk Cousins' declining performance due to age and injuries.
Vikings' outlook adjusted downwards due to uncertainties surrounding Kirk Cousins.
Skepticism over Atlanta Falcons' favored position in NFC South based on uncertainties.
NBA teams adjusting strategies post-All-Star break based on changes in officiating.
Deep dives
Houston Texans' Defensive Upgrade
The Houston Texans made significant improvements to their defense by acquiring the Neil Hunter and Joe Mixon, boosting their pass rush and backfield. Pairing the Neil Hunter with Will Anderson is anticipated to bolster their defense quickly, relieving pressure on their secondary.
Concerns Over Kirk Cousins
There are growing concerns over Kirk Cousins' performance deteriorating due to his age and significant injury, prompting uncertainties about his future effectiveness. The difference between his skill level and that of Aaron Rodgers is raising doubts about Cousins' sustained performance over the next six to eight years.
Minnesota Vikings' Potential Decline
The Minnesota Vikings' outlook has been adjusted downwards to reflect potential challenges ahead, recognizing a possible decline in their performance due to uncertainties surrounding Kirk Cousins and other key factors within the team.
Skepticism Towards Atlanta Falcons' High Odds
The Atlanta Falcons' favored position in the NFC South is met with skepticism, as the team's projected success may not align with the odds they are given. Given various uncertainties within the team and the division, doubts persist about the Falcons' ability to meet high expectations.
Impact of Changes in Officiating on NBA Teams Since All-Star Break
Since the All-Star break, NBA teams have experienced changes in officiating resulting in a notable impact on their performance. Teams like the Spurs, Celtics, Bucks, Nuggets, Hawks, Pelicans, and Pistons have shown improvements in their ATS margins, with ATS margins ranging from 4 to 8.5 points better than the first half of the season. A key factor influencing their performance is the net field goal percentage difference, with most of these teams displaying better shooting capabilities in the second half of the season.
Variability in Performance Despite Improved Field Goal Percentage
While some teams like the Orlando Magic have shown a significant improvement in field goal percentage (+3.3 points), their ATS margin remains negative (-2.3 points). This suggests that enhanced shooting efficiency does not always translate to a favorable point margin. It indicates that factors beyond field goal percentage play a role in overall performance, highlighting the complexity of team dynamics and game strategies.
Strategic Approach to Optimizing Foul Calls in NBA Games
Teams seeking to capitalize on looser foul calls post-All-Star break are likely to maintain their current foul rate, focusing instead on playing more aggressively to achieve desired outcomes. The net fouls statistic reveals how teams strategize foul calls, with a positive number indicating that the opposing team commits more fouls. Understanding and adapting to officiating changes can help teams leverage these shifts to their advantage in games.
Teams Adjusting Strategies Based on Foul Calls
Teams in the NBA seem to be adjusting their strategies based on foul calls. Some teams with negative net fouls are benefiting from fewer calls, potentially leading to more aggressive gameplay. The example of NBA teams like the Spurs, Soutix, Bucks, and Nuggets adjusting their physicality based on foul calls was discussed.
Impact of Under Performance on Point Margins
Teams like the Knicks, Hawks, and Hornets have been holding opponents under 80 points, showcasing a strong defensive performance. The Knicks especially stand out with a significant underperformance compared to their average total points. Other teams like the T-wolves and Hornets are experiencing a decline in scoring rates, despite defensive efforts. The analysis also highlighted the trade-offs between scoring less and yielding less in NBA games.
