Behind the Markets Podcast

A new weekly market impact: escalate to de-escalate?

May 30, 2025
Philip Blancato, Chief Market Strategist at Osaic and CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management, joins macro strategist Samuel Rines to dive into financial trends. They discuss the recent improvement in the U.S. trade deficit and its implications for GDP growth. The chat covers the resilience of U.S. consumers amidst geopolitical tensions and tariffs, along with opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks. Insights into the evolving European market and the transformative potential of AI and cryptocurrencies round out their engaging analysis.
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INSIGHT

Trade Deficit Signals Higher GDP

  • The recent dramatic drop in the U.S. trade deficit suggests a sharp upward revision in the GDP growth rate, potentially around 4%.
  • This is likely a correction for measurement errors that caused an underestimated GDP in the first quarter.
INSIGHT

Fed Defends Independence Amid Pressure

  • Fed Chair Jay Powell strongly defends the independence of the Federal Reserve amid political pressure from President Trump.
  • Political calls to lower interest rates despite inflation data pose a risk to Fed autonomy.
INSIGHT

Markets Intolerant of Escalating Tariffs

  • The market reacts negatively when trade tensions with China escalate, showing intolerance for prolonged tariff conflicts.
  • Markets can tolerate tariffs around 10-30% but not expansion beyond that range.
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