While upcoming policy increments and terminal values for various countries are highly debatable, Can't, Won't, Don't Stop seems like an appropriate characterization of current near term central bank policy. To reiterate our message from late last year - 2023 could turn out to be as challenging as 2022 but for different reasons. 2022 was how high policy rates would go. In 2023 market expectations should become fractured into the hike, hold, cut camps.
Participants:
- Jason Daw (Desk Strategy), Head of North America Rates Strategy
- Blake Gwinn (Desk Strategy), Head of US Rates Strategist
- Peter Schaffrik (Desk Strategy), Head of UK/European Rates & Economics
- Elsa Lignos (Desk Strategy), Head of FX Strategy
- Michael Tran (Research), Global Energy Strategist
* Research Analyst opinions are their published views, independent of those expressed by Desk Analysts