The Intelligence from The Economist

The general and specific threats: Iran

Jan 6, 2020
Shashank Joshi, Defense editor for The Economist, and Julia Monk, a Yale graduate student studying animal behavior, discuss crucial themes. Joshi analyzes the fallout from the U.S. assassination of Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani, highlighting the increasing anti-American sentiment and its implications for regional stability. Meanwhile, Monk presents fascinating insights into same-sex behavior in over 1,500 animal species, challenging traditional views on evolution and acceptance. They also touch on the global resurgence of film dubbing, exploring its cultural impact.
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INSIGHT

Soleimani Assassination's Significance

  • The assassination of Qasem Soleimani is the most significant American action in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq invasion.
  • This provocative act will have major ramifications for US-Iran relations and America's Middle Eastern standing.
INSIGHT

Trump Administration's Motivation

  • The Trump administration was likely frustrated with Soleimani's support for Iraqi militias and regional influence networks.
  • Trump's pride, wounded by the US embassy siege, might have influenced the decision.
INSIGHT

Iran's Likely Response

  • Iran likely doesn't want open conflict due to a weaker conventional military.
  • Expect asymmetric tactics like missile attacks, abductions, and executions to drive the US out.
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