The Trajectory John Smart - Evolution from Cells to Super-intelligence (Worthy Successor, Episode 21)
Jan 30, 2026
John M. Smart, futurist and director of the EvoDevo Institute, maps intelligence as staged development from chemistry to digital minds. He discusses metasystem transitions, computation densification, speed gaps between humans and digital cognition, evo-devo constraints like Hox genes, natural alignment ideas, and hopeful attractor scenarios for cooperative, accountable posthuman networks.
03:46:34
Inner-Space Compression Of Computation
- Intelligence trends toward compressing computation in space, time, energy, and matter (STEM), increasing modeling power.
- John Smart argues this explains why complex systems centralize inner-space computation across scales.
From Entrepreneur To Accelerationologist
- John sold his business in 1999 and founded the Acceleration Studies Foundation to study why change accelerates.
- He ran Stanford conferences and coined 'accelerationology' to contrast with blind accelerationism.
Sentience Adds Replicative Value
- Sentience supplies adaptive value by enabling systems to non-randomly influence future replication.
- Smart links intelligence to persistence: systems that model self and environment persist better.
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Intro
00:00 • 2min
John Smart's background and accelerationology
02:20 • 2min
Inner space and computation density
04:13 • 3min
Universe as a learning replicator
06:57 • 4min
Why intelligence is conserved
10:50 • 4min
Adaptiveness: persistence and sentience
14:42 • 3min
Defining consciousness and qualia
17:39 • 6min
Systems theory disclaimer and observer role
23:25 • 2min
Developmental wonder: from egg to organism
25:32 • 8min
EvoDevo: predictable development meets evolution
33:33 • 7min
Homeobox genes and developmental constraints
40:42 • 3min
Predictability from past cycles and math
43:18 • 3min
Autopoiesis and three replicator dynamics
46:43 • 5min
CAPS model: create, account, persist, sentience
51:14 • 4min
Evolutionary innovation mechanisms
54:55 • 4min
Developmental patterning and convergent evolution
58:44 • 10min
Redundancy, resilience, robustness, hormesis
01:08:29 • 4min
Civilizational immunity and trusted compartments
01:12:20 • 8min
Power laws (evolution) vs. Gaussians (development)
01:20:43 • 3min
STEM compression and metasystem transitions
01:24:08 • 5min
Speed differentials: humans vs digital minds
01:28:47 • 4min
What a 'win' looks like for future life
01:32:42 • 7min
Network identity and expanded empathy
01:39:24 • 4min
Science fiction cautionary tales
01:43:52 • 4min
Natural selection of values and cosmological selection
01:47:57 • 5min
Human utility to early AGI and emulation labs
01:52:55 • 5min
Four CAP-aligned attractor scenarios
01:58:16 • 5min
Democratizing AI and personal AI as civic tools
02:02:49 • 8min
Natural alignment: borrow biology's algorithms
02:10:36 • 6min
Neuroscience lessons for AI: memory and catastrophic forgetting
02:16:27 • 4min
Labrador AIs and keeping systems 'in the middle'
02:20:10 • 4min
VIG for alignment: Values, Integrity, Governance
02:23:50 • 5min
Networks win: open source and distributed innovation
02:28:31 • 5min
Coopetition, war, and rules for scale
02:33:48 • 6min
Four negative D-scenarios: disconnected to dehumanizing
02:39:59 • 4min
Disconnected minds and parasitic outcomes
02:44:27 • 4min
Dysregulation and accidental catastrophes
02:48:14 • 4min
Domination and surveillance capitalism
02:52:40 • 4min
Dehumanization, uplift and reversible enhancement
02:56:33 • 5min
Human identity, self-selection, and good death
03:01:25 • 6min
Practical governance: nudging and stewardship
03:07:53 • 18min
Final reflections on optimism and caution
03:25:36 • 10min
Outro
03:35:40 • 11min
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This new installment of the Worthy Successor series is an interview with John Smart, Director of the EvoDevo Institute and a longtime futures theorist whose work spans accelerating change, developmental systems, and the long-term trajectory of intelligence.
In this episode, we go deep on John’s view that intelligence does not evolve randomly, but instead progresses through constrained developmental stages - from chemistry to biology to nervous systems to digital cognition. He frames AGI as another “meta-system transition,” comparable in magnitude to the emergence of cells or brains, and emphasizes that such transitions come with massive jumps in modeling capacity, speed, and agency.
The interview is our twenty-first installment in The Trajectory’s second series, Worthy Successor, where we explore the kinds of posthuman intelligences that deserve to steer the future beyond humanity.
This episode referred to the following other essays and resources:
-- A Worthy Successor - The Purpose of AGI: https://danfaggella.com/worthy
Listen to this episode on The Trajectory Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trajectory/id1739255954
Watch the full episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/ZKRXzP5IEQQ
See the full article from this episode: https://danfaggella.com/smart1
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