Plain English with Derek Thompson How Trump Won: Young Men’s Red Wave, the Blue-City Flop, and the Incumbency Graveyard
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Nov 8, 2024 Kristen Soltis Anderson, a Republican pollster and co-founder of Echelon Insights, joins to discuss the surprising rightward shift of the electorate in 2024. She highlights how Trump attracted various demographics, particularly young men, influenced by inflation and cultural backlash. The conversation also dives into strategic challenges for Democrats as they navigate this evolving political landscape and the growing skepticism towards traditional institutions. Expect insights on how these trends may shape future elections!
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National Rightward Shift
- Trump's 2024 victory wasn't about targeting specific demographics, but shifting the entire electorate rightward.
- He improved margins in swing states and Democratic strongholds, defying typical election patterns.
Second Pandemic Election
- Derek Thompson suggests the 2024 election was a second pandemic election, shaped by COVID's economic and cultural fallout.
- Inflation, a pandemic consequence, fueled global incumbency losses, reflecting widespread discontent.
Pre-Election Insights
- Kristen Soltis Anderson discusses her pre-election analysis, noting Trump's unexpected strength in Pennsylvania and the gender gap.
- She also mentions a poll where people predicted their neighbors would vote for Trump, suggesting a hidden support base.