Don't Worry About the Vase Podcast Bending The Curve
Oct 7, 2025
Zvi explores the high stakes of AI acceleration and the urgent need for global coordination. Attendees weigh AI against historic technologies, predicting capabilities from automating research to economic impacts by 2041. Conversations reveal hopes for curing diseases alongside fears of power concentration. Insights into policy debates highlight the capture of DC by big players and the challenges of enforcement. Personal anecdotes add humor, while discussions around uneven AI skill sets warn that not all advancements may be sustainable.
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AI As Civilization-Level Change
- AI progress feels like a civilization-level transformation rather than a normal tech upgrade.
- The default expectation at The Curve was that AI will be one of the most consequential technologies in history.
Converging On Fast Automation Timelines
- Attendees clustered around rapid capability scenarios like massive code automation and automated research.
- Median expectations put major automation of code by 2028 and large parts of remote work automatable by 2031.
Misuse And Misalignment Both Top Concerns
- Attendees worried equally about misuse and misalignment rather than only one or the other.
- Most push pins clustered top-right on a chart, indicating dual concern for both threats.
