
Columbia Energy Exchange Anja Manuel on the Next Era of Great Power Competition
Jan 13, 2026
Anja Manuel is a foreign policy expert and co-founder of a strategic consulting firm, with a rich background in diplomacy. In this discussion, she explores the escalating great power competition between the U.S. and China, comparing it to pre-WWI dynamics. Anja highlights the importance of critical technologies like advanced chips and AI in this geopolitical landscape. She emphasizes the need for cooperation with allies on clean energy supply chains while addressing tensions with India and Europe, and she advocates for mandatory AI safety testing to mitigate risks.
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Great Power Rivalry Is Back
- Great power competition is returning and undermining the post-WWII international order.
- Anja Manuel warns U.S.-China rivalry is unstable and risks unintended military escalation without strong dialogue.
Interdependence Meets Tech Decoupling
- The U.S.-China relationship mixes deep economic ties with rising technological decoupling.
- Manuel highlights tech areas (chips, AI, 5G/6G) where strategic competition and export controls matter most.
Focus Controls On Defense-Adjacent Tech
- Protect technologies that are 'defense adjacent' like leading-edge chips, 5G/6G and fintech.
- Use narrow export controls and allied cooperation rather than blanket decoupling to manage national security risks.


