CIO Global Livestream: What is driving markets - Elections or earnings?
Jul 23, 2024
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Global experts Kiran Ganesh, Tom McLoughlin, Nadia Lovell, & Constantin Bolz discuss US election impact on markets, Harris's role, earnings vs elections, small cap performance, trade relationships, interest rates, and investment strategies.
US election landscape shapes campaign messaging and strategy, impacting investor sentiment.
Earnings growth for companies, especially in financials, drives market optimism amid political volatility.
Deep dives
Impact of Recent Political Developments on Investing
Recent events such as President Biden withdrawing his candidacy and historic political shifts have shaped the US election landscape. Vice President Harris's nomination has energized the Democratic Party and forced the Republicans to recalibrate their campaign messaging. The focus on border protection and portraying Harris as too progressive indicates a shift in strategy. The competitive nature of the election campaigns and the impact on messaging present an evolving narrative for investors.
Analyzing Earnings Season and Market Outlook
The earnings season is crucial amidst political volatility, with a focus on fundamentals driving market outlook. Earnings growth for the S&P 493 is anticipated, marking significant progress in contrast to previous quarters. Companies, especially in financials, are reporting modest beats fueling optimistic market sentiment. Consumer trends, industrial dynamics, and tech sector updates play a pivotal role in shaping market performance and investor sentiment.
Navigating FX Markets and Gold Investments
FX markets have responded more to macroeconomic data than political developments, with interest rates influencing currency valuations. Gold reached new highs reflecting economic uncertainties and geopolitical factors. Recommendations focus on hedging FX exposure due to lower volatility and considering gold as a safe-haven asset amid supportive monetary policies. The strategic positioning for FX investors emphasizes balancing risk and opportunity amidst evolving market conditions.
Join Kiran Ganesh, Global Head of Investment Communications, Tom McLoughlin, Head of Fixed Income & Municipal Securities, Nadia Lovell, Senior US Equity Strategist, & Constantin Bolz, FX Strategist.
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