The Circuit

EP 132: Offical Gov. Stake in Intel, NVIDIA's New Scale Across Fabric, NVIDIA Earnings Preview

31 snips
Aug 24, 2025
The U.S. government now owns a 10% stake in Intel, which signifies strong confidence in the company’s future. This investment raises questions about the semiconductor industry and Intel's strategy moving forward. Nvidia’s new Spectrum XGS Ethernet technology is set to revolutionize GPU scalability, impacting major players like Google and Microsoft. Additionally, discussions around the analog devices market reveal mixed signals, particularly in automotive and robotics. Anticipation builds for Nvidia's upcoming earnings call amid varying market dynamics.
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INSIGHT

Government Stake Signals Confidence Not Control

  • The U.S. government's 9.9% stake in Intel is a political vote of confidence, not a full operational rescue.
  • The investment signals commitment to U.S. foundry capability but leaves open whether customers will follow.
INSIGHT

Deal Is Funding Repackaged, Not New Cash

  • The deal is an equity conversion of CHIPS Act funds that dilutes existing shareholders and doesn't commit the government to deliver customers.
  • Its main value is signaling; concrete customer commitments and clearer terms remain missing.
ADVICE

Get Customers And Experts To Secure Foundry

  • Intel should aggressively court hyperscalers as anchor foundry customers and ask them to invest alongside the government.
  • Build an A-team manufacturing board drawn from industry experts to restore foundry credibility.
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